A year ago I posted a list of predictions for 2011. Let’s see how I did:
- Wrong. Netflix did pick up more content. They are doing some interesting things with Arrested Development, for instance. However, I don’t think people will look back on all the pricing changes, Qwikster, and the general user annoyance as a year when Netflix “kicked ass”.
- Correct. 50 Mbit FiOS! Woot! We moved from Seattle to Kirkland into a house where the previous owners bullied Verizon into running the fiber. It’s completely awesome.
- Sort-of Correct. It’s not 60%, but Android is up to 43% market share. “Dizzying array” is the only way to describe the number of Android devices out there, though that’s not entirely a positive thing.
- Correct. Google and some of their partners announced a plan to improve the update situation. Hopefully that will work out.
- Correct. What new glasses? The Vuzix Star 1200s look cool, but $5k is a bit out of the consumer price range.
- Correct. This one was sort of a gimme since there’s no way to tell if this is really the start of anything. I’ve seem a bunch of Nissan Leafs around my neighborhood though.
- Wrong. I certainly haven’t heard of any such advance. Did I miss one?
4.5 out of 7 isn’t so bad. Some of my predictions were pretty soft-ball though, so I kind of cheated.
I think I’m going to skip writing my own 2012 predictions post this year. I would love to hear what you think is going to happen this year. Post them in the comments! (I’ll probably pick the best of them and put up a new post collecting them.)
Edit: @JZig points out that math is hard. 7 – 2.5 = 4.5